Friday, September 15, 2006

When in doubt, turn to statistics

So, clearly, Kerri and I are dying for the baby to be born. But the doctor's hinting that the babies not coming anytime soon. And yet...modern science said that the due date is September 25th. That means we'll have a baby by the 25th at the latest, right?

Wrong, According to an article in Seminars in Perinatology. Kerri's about dead center in the 38th week of pregnancy now. According to the article, even at the end of the 39th week, there's still about a 37% chance the baby won't be here. And there's a six percent chance he/she won't be here well into October. Now, anyone who knows me knows I tend to discount the "genes cause x behavior" arguments that are so popular these days. But I tend to be early for events, Kerri late. So just in case genes do play a role, let's hope baby gets my "early/late" gene.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

6% go 42-44 weeks!?! Jesus! Sucks to be THOSE women, doesn't it! What was the study population for those numbers anyway?

As far as I know, most doctors won't let a pregnancy go that long--the baby gets too big, the fluid levels get too low--it's just not a good idea. They'll probably induce before it gets to that point.

Come ON, baby Barron!!! Let's move it!

Anonymous said...

Baby Barron come on now. Don't be hard to get along with. Let's get here right now.

Aunt Sarah, Grandma and Grandpa Kennedy

Kelly said...

Since we fell into the <32 category, I think that means the girls are just go-getters. What that says about Baby Barron, I'm not sure...

Kerri said...

You just wanted to show off that you fell into the <32. Laugh it up, young lady, laugh it up.

Kerri said...

Err. I'm brilliant; I thought the <32 was your age. Apologies to you and your little go-getters from me and my little follow-the-pack-er.